← Stage-Gate NPD Suite Gate 0 Decision Package · 05 February 2026

Gate 0 — Concept Screening Package

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Lighthouse Financial Services Company — The concept screening package tabled at Gate 0 on 05 February 2026, seeking release of the Stage 1 tranche to build a business case for a fixed indexed annuity. This is a point-in-time document. It records what was known and believed on the day, including things later found to be wrong.

Recommendation & decision sought

Recommendation: release $2,180,000 to develop a full business case for a non-registered fixed indexed annuity with an optional guaranteed lifetime withdrawal benefit rider, returning to Gate 1 in the second quarter.

Prepared by C. Tyrrell, NPD Programme Manager. Sponsor: G. Marchetti, Chief Product Officer.

Part I — The Screening Decision

1. What this gate is for

Gate 0 does not decide whether to build a product. It decides whether the concept is worth the cost of finding out. That distinction governs everything below, and it is the reason this package is short, thin on evidence, and heavy on judgement.

A screening gate's job is to be cheap, and to be wrong cheaply. The tranche it releases is 8% of the programme's authorised cost. Its purpose is to buy facts — and the most valuable output of Stage 1 may well be a finding that stops the programme, which is exactly what happened to this carrier's previous index-linked concept.

The Board is therefore not being asked to believe the numbers in §6. It is being asked whether the questions in §7 are worth $2,180,000 to answer.

2. The concept as screened

ElementAs proposed at this gate
ProductSingle-premium deferred fixed indexed annuity — principal protected against index loss
RegistrationNon-registered. No downside index participation, so the contract stays outside securities registration and inside the state insurance filing lane
Crediting strategiesFive proposed — a fixed account and four indexed structures
Living benefitOptional guaranteed lifetime withdrawal benefit rider, charged explicitly
Target marketPre-retirees and early retirees, roughly 55 to 70, seeking protected participation and a contractual income floor
DistributionExisting independent marketing organisation relationships. No new channel
Filing routeInterstate Insurance Product Regulation Compact, with separate filings for non-Compact states
JurisdictionsAll states in which the carrier is licensed, including New York

Two elements of this scope did not survive Gate 1. Both are noted in the reader's note at §10; neither was foreseen here, and this package is not retrofitted to pretend otherwise.

Part II — Assessment

3. Must-meet criteria

Three, all answered yes. Screening must-meets test admissibility, not attractiveness — they capture the conditions under which spending Stage 1 money would be pointless.

Must-meetAnswerBasis
The concept falls within the carrier's licensed lines and existing product authorityYesIndividual deferred annuity; the carrier writes this line today
No known regulatory prohibition on the structure in the target laneYesFixed indexed annuities are an established filed product class; Legal confirms no impediment
The concept does not require a capability the organisation has already decided not to buildYesCapped structures are hedgeable by the existing desk. This criterion exists because of Harborline — see §8

4. Scored assessment

CriterionWeightScoreWeighted
Strategic fit with the annuity portfolio25%4 / 51.00
Market attractiveness25%4 / 51.00
Feasibility — can it be built and filed20%4 / 50.80
Distribution appetite15%4 / 50.60
Preliminary economics15%3 / 50.45
Weighted total100%3.85

3.85 sits in the band supporting a straight GO. Notes on the two that matter:

5. Preliminary economics — and why they are preliminary

Indicative modelling on comparable in-force business suggests Year 1 premium in the region of $150M to $250M, average case size broadly consistent with the existing block, and a return above the carrier's hurdle rate with wide error bars in both directions.

These figures are an argument for funding Stage 1, not an input to any later decision. They rest on analogy to a different product sold by a different structure, and on a capital charge and option budget that will both move before Gate 1. No figure in this section should be carried forward or cited as a baseline. The Gate 1 package computes the economics properly and, where it disagrees with this section, Gate 1 governs.

Scoring preliminary economics a 3 rather than a 4 is deliberate. A 4 asserts the criterion meets the standard on evidence; there is no evidence here yet, and inflating the score would make the weighted total look like a stronger case than the Board actually has in front of it.

Part III — What We Do Not Know

6. The questions Stage 1 is funded to answer

This is the operative section of the package. Stage 1 is not being funded to write a document; it is being funded to resolve the following, each of which becomes a Gate 1 must-meet or a scored criterion.

Q1 — Will distribution partners commit volume in writing?

Interest is documented; commitment is not. Stage 1 must return written indications from named partners, not modelled volumes. Becomes a Gate 1 must-meet.

Q2 — Does the product clear the hurdle on a current capital charge?

The indicative return at §5 uses today's charge on an analogous product. Stage 1 must price the actual structure against the charge current at Gate 1. Becomes a Gate 1 must-meet.

Q3 — Can the guarantee be hedged with in-house capability?

Capped structures should be within the desk's existing capability, but the rider changes the exposure profile. Stage 1 must confirm rather than assume. Becomes a Gate 1 must-meet — a direct consequence of Harborline.

Q4 — What does the illustration engine actually support?

Five crediting strategies are proposed. Whether the incumbent engine can produce compliant hypothetical performance for all five, and at what build cost, is unknown.

Q5 — Where can this be filed, and how quickly?

The Compact route is assumed. Stage 1 must confirm the product falls under existing uniform standards, and must cost the non-Compact states separately — including whether they belong in a first launch at all.

Q6 — What is the competitive cap, and what floor would make this not worth doing?

Stage 1 must return a peer comparison and propose a floor below which the product should be repriced or stopped.

7. Risks visible at screening

Named here so the register does not begin at Gate 1 with risks that were foreseeable in February.

ConcernBecomes
Option budget compresses; illustrated cap falls below competitiveR-03
Filing review extends beyond the standard clockR-01
Non-Compact states approve on a different timetableR-02
Distribution partners deprioritise against competing launchesR-07
Pricing actuary capacity is concentrated in one credentialed individualR-10

8. What Harborline changed about this gate

The carrier's previous index-linked concept was cancelled at its Gate 1 six months before this screening. Three changes to the Gate 0 process came directly from it, and this package is the first to apply them.

Harborline findingChange applied here
Gate 0 scored feasibility on the ability to build, not to distributeDistribution appetite is now a scored criterion in its own right, weighted 15%
A capability the organisation had effectively declined to acquire was not treated as disqualifyingNow a must-meet — the third criterion at §3
Hedgeability was assessed late in Stage 1, after significant spendNamed as Q3 at §6 and pre-committed as a Gate 1 must-meet
The connection between the two concepts is a lesson, not a ledger. Harborline established that the binding constraint on an index-linked product at this carrier was registration — not the market and not the product idea. This concept is deliberately non-registered for that reason. It is a new programme entering at the first gate, not a resumption. The full test is in the Prior Concept Cancellation Record §7.
Part IV — Decision

9. Outcome

ItemRecord
Must-meet3 of 3 passed
Weighted score3.85 — GO band
OutcomeGO carried 5–0
Released$2,180,000 — Stage 1
ConditionsNone
Return to Gate 1Second quarter, on the strength of §6
Criteria fixed for Gate 1Recorded in the gate minute and reproduced in the Gate Decision Framework §8

10. Reader's note — where this led

Added for the reader · not part of the original package

Two of this gate's assumptions did not survive Gate 1

This section is an editorial addition, marked as such so the point-in-time record above stays intact. Everything above was written on 05 February 2026 and has not been revised.

Screened here asWhat happened
Five crediting strategiesReduced to three at Gate 1 (condition GC-01), after Q4 established that the illustration engine could not support two of them at justifiable cost
All licensed states, including New YorkNew York removed from launch scope at Gate 1 (condition GC-02), after Q5 costed it separately

Both changes came from questions this package identified and Stage 1 was funded to answer. That is the screening gate working, not failing: Q4 and Q5 were open questions in February and settled facts by June, and the cost of settling them was a fraction of the development tranche that would have been committed to the original scope.

11. Document control

VersionDateChange
1.005 Feb 2026Tabled at Gate 0. Carried GO 5–0.
1.111 Jun 2026Reader's note added at §10 following Gate 1. No content above §10 altered — the screening record stands as written.

Prepared by C. Tyrrell, NPD Programme Manager and Chair of the Gate Review Board. Related: The Programme Story · Gate Decision Framework §7 · Gate 1 Business Case Package · Prior Concept Cancellation Record.